Training Artificial Neural Networks with Genetic Algorithms for Stock Forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
Accurate prediction of future stock market prices is of great importance to traders. The process can be automated using artificial neural networks. However, the conventional backward propagation of errors algorithm commonly used for training the networks suffers from the local minima problem. This study investigates whether investing more computational resources into training an artificial neural network using genetic algorithms over the conventional algorithm, to avoid the local minima problem, can result in higher prediction accuracy. The results indicate that there is no significant increase in accuracy to gain by investing resources into training with genetic algorithms, using our proposed model. Träning Av Artificiella Neuronnät I Syfte Att Förutsp̊a Aktiemarknaden
منابع مشابه
Provide a stock price forecasting model using deep learning algorithms and its use in the pricing of Islamic bank stocks
Predicting stock prices is complicated; various components, such as the general state of the economy, political events, and investor expectations, affect the stock market. The stock market is in fact a chaotic nonlinear system that depends on various political, economic and psychological factors. To overcome the limitations of traditional analysis techniques in predicting nonlinear patterns, ex...
متن کاملForecasting the Tehran Stock market by Machine Learning Methods using a New Loss Function
Stock market forecasting has attracted so many researchers and investors that many studies have been done in this field. These studies have led to the development of many predictive methods, the most widely used of which are machine learning-based methods. In machine learning-based methods, loss function has a key role in determining the model weights. In this study a new loss function is ...
متن کاملForecasting Industrial Production in Iran: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks and Adaptive Nero-Fuzzy Inference System
Forecasting industrial production is essential for efficient planning by managers. Although there are many statistical and mathematical methods for prediction, the use of intelligent algorithms with desirable features has made significant progress in recent years. The current study compared the accuracy of the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Nero-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) app...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Market Using Wavelet Transforms and Neural Networks: An integrated system based on Fuzzy Genetic algorithm (Case study of price index of Tehran Stock Exchange)
The jamor purpose of the present research is to predict the total stock market index of Tehran Stock Exchange, using a combined method of Wavelet transforms, Fuzzy genetics, and neural network in order to predict the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers.To do so, first the prediction was made by neural network, then a series of price index was decomposed by w...
متن کاملForecasting of heavy metals concentration in groundwater resources of Asadabad plain using artificial neural network approach
Nowadays 90% of the required water of Iran is secured with groundwater resources and forecasting of pollutants content in these resources is vital. Therefore, this research aimed to develop and employ the feedforward artificial neural network (ANN) to forecast the arsenic (As), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) concentration in groundwater resources of Asadabad plain. In this research, the ANN models we...
متن کاملForecasting and Sensitivity Analysis of Monthly Evaporation from Siah Bisheh Dam Reservoir using Artificial neural Networks combined with Genetic Algorithm
Evaporation process, the main component of the water cycle in nature, is essential in agricultural studies, hydrology and meteorology, the operation of reservoirs, irrigation and drainage systems, irrigation scheduling and management of water resources. Various methods have been presented for estimating evaporation from free surface including water budget method, evaporation from pan and experi...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2016